3 papers
econ.GN2025
Compounding Effect of Harsh Climate and Societal Disruptions on Food Prices in Early Modern Europe
Emile Esmaili, Michael J. Puma, Francis Ludlow +1
The complex interplay between famine, warfare, and climate constitutes a multifaceted and context-dependent relationship that has profoundly influenced human history, particularly…
econ.EM2024
Warfare Ignited Price Contagion Dynamics in Early Modern Europe
Emile Esmaili, Michael J. Puma, Francis Ludlow +2
Economic historians have long studied market integration and contagion dynamics during periods of warfare and global stress, but there is a lack of model-based evidence on these ph…
stat.AP2024
A Bayesian Hierarchical Framework for Capturing Preference Heterogeneity in Migration Flows
Aric Cutuli, Upmanu Lall, Michael J. Puma +2
Understanding and predicting human migration patterns is a central challenge in population dynamics research. Traditional physics-inspired gravity and radiation models represent mi…