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econ.EM2026★ 2 cited
Quantile-based modeling of scale dynamics in financial returns for Value-at-Risk and Expected Shortfall forecasting
Xiaochun Liu, Richard Luger
We introduce a semiparametric approach for forecasting Value-at-Risk (VaR) and Expected Shortfall (ES) by modeling the conditional scale of financial returns, defined as the differ…
econ.EM2020
Encompassing Tests for Value at Risk and Expected Shortfall Multi-Step Forecasts based on Inference on the Boundary
Timo Dimitriadis, Xiaochun Liu, Julie Schnaitmann
We propose forecast encompassing tests for the Expected Shortfall (ES) jointly with the Value at Risk (VaR) based on flexible link (or combination) functions. Our setup allows test…