6 papers
Contrastive Similarity Learning for Market Forecasting: The ContraSim Framework
Nicholas Vinden, Raeid Saqur, Zining Zhu +1
We introduce the Contrastive Similarity Space Embedding Algorithm (ContraSim), a novel framework for uncovering the global semantic relationships between daily financial headlines…
Filtered not Mixed: Stochastic Filtering-Based Online Gating for Mixture of Large Language Models
Raeid Saqur, Anastasis Kratsios, Florian Krach +5
We propose MoE-F - a formalized mechanism for combining pre-trained Large Language Models (LLMs) for online time-series prediction by adaptively forecasting the best weighting…
Higher-Order Transformer Derivative Estimates for Explicit Pathwise Learning Guarantees
Yannick Limmer, Anastasis Kratsios, Xuwei Yang +2
An inherent challenge in computing fully-explicit generalization bounds for transformers involves obtaining covering number estimates for the given transformer class . Crude est…
What Teaches Robots to Walk, Teaches Them to Trade too -- Regime Adaptive Execution using Informed Data and LLMs
Raeid Saqur
Machine learning techniques applied to the problem of financial market forecasting struggle with dynamic regime switching, or underlying correlation and covariance shifts in true (…
NIFTY Financial News Headlines Dataset
Raeid Saqur, Ken Kato, Nicholas Vinden +1
We introduce and make publicly available the NIFTY Financial News Headlines dataset, designed to facilitate and advance research in financial market forecasting using large languag…
L(u)PIN: LLM-based Political Ideology Nowcasting
Ken Kato, Annabelle Purnomo, Christopher Cochrane +1
The quantitative analysis of political ideological positions is a difficult task. In the past, various literature focused on parliamentary voting data of politicians, party manifes…