2 papers
stat.ME2025
Decision synthesis in monetary policy
Tony Chernis, Gary Koop, Emily Tallman +1
The macroeconomy is a sophisticated dynamic system involving significant uncertainties that complicate modelling. In response, decision-makers consider multiple models that provide…
econ.EM2025
Monthly GDP Growth Estimates for the U.S. States
Gary Koop, Stuart McIntyre, James Mitchell +1
This paper develops a mixed frequency vector autoregressive (MF-VAR) model to produce nowcasts and historical estimates of monthly real state-level GDP for the 50 U.S. states, plus…