2 papers
cond-mat.stat-mech2002
Eliminating Public Knowledge Biases in Small Group Predictions
Kay-Yut Chen, Leslie R. Fine, Bernardo A. Huberman
We present a novel methodology for identifying public knowledge and eliminating the biases it creates when aggregating information in small group settings. A two stage mechanism co…
cond-mat.stat-mech2001
Forecasting Uncertain Events with Small Groups
Kay-Yut Chen, Leslie R. Fine, Bernardo A. Huberman
We present a novel methodology for predicting future outcomes that uses small numbers of individuals participating in an imperfect information market. By determining their risk att…