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From the 2 of 15 linked papers with an AI index.

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15 papers

nlin.CD2026

Koopman early warning signals for bifurcation and rate-induced tipping

Juan Nathaniel, Carla Roesch, Derek DeSantis +5

Abrupt transitions in complex systems are often preceded by early warning signals. However, most indicators rely on the notion of critical slowing down and do not generally extend…

cond-mat.stat-mech2026

Data-driven analysis of metastability in a stochastic bistable system

Ankan Banerjee, Manuel Santos Gutierrez, John Moroney +1

The paper introduces a data‑driven method using the Koopman operator to identify slow inter‑well transitions and fast saddle escapes in a stochastic bistable system, validating esc…

math-ph2026

Beyond Critical Slowing Down: Slow Modes, Extreme Tails, and Field Decoherence in Tipping Transitions

Mickaël D. Chekroun, Valerio Lucarini

The paper investigates early‑warning signals of climate tipping in a stochastic energy‑balance model by combining spectral analysis of reduced Ruelle‑Pollicott resonances, extreme‑…

cond-mat.stat-mech2026

Linear Response and Optimal Fingerprinting for Nonautonomous Systems

Valerio Lucarini

We provide a link between response theory, pullback measures, and optimal fingerprinting method that paves the way for a) predicting the impact of acting forcings on time-dependent…

math.DS2026

A Mathematical Framework for Linear Response Theory for Nonautonomous Systems

Stefano Galatolo, Valerio Lucarini

Linear response theory aims to predict how an additional forcing alters the statistical properties of a reference system. Such questions have been studied predominantly for autonom…

math.DS2026

Ulam Approximation for Nonautonomous Systems: Equivariant Measures and Linear Response

Stefano Galatolo, Valerio Lucarini, Isaia Nisoli

Despite the prevalence of nonautonomous systems in applications, their statistical properties are much less understood than in the autonomous setting. Building on recent results on…