5 papers
Replacing ARDL? Introducing the NSB-ARDL Model for Structural and Asymmetric Forecasting
Tuhin G M Al Mamun
This paper introduces the NSB-ARDL (Nonlinear Structural Break Autoregressive Distributed Lag) model, a novel econometric framework designed to capture asymmetric and nonlinear dyn…
Has the Paris Agreement Shaped Emission Trends? A Panel VECM Analysis of Energy, Growth, and CO in 106 Middle-Income Countries
Tuhin G. M. Al Mamun, Ehsanullah, Md. Sharif Hassan +2
Rising CO emissions remain a critical global challenge, particularly in middle-income countries where economic growth drives environmental degradation. This study examines the…
Public Sector Efficiency in Delivering Social Services and Its Impact on Human Development: A Comparative Study of Healthcare and Education Spending in India, Pakistan, and Bangladesh
Tuhin G. M. Al Mamun, Rahim Md. Abdur, Md. Sharif Hassan +2
The research investigates the effects of public spending on health and education in shaping the human development in south Asian three countries: India, Pakistan and Bangladesh. Th…
Fiscal Policy and Household Savings in Central Europe (Poland, Croatia, and Slovak Republic) -- A Markov Switching VAR with Covid Shock
Tuhin G M Al Mamun, Ehsanullah, Md Sharif Hassan +3
This study investigates the effectiveness of fiscal policies on household consumption, disposable income, and the propensity to consume during the COVID-19 pandemic across Croatia,…
Assessing Fiscal Policy Effectiveness on Household Savings in Hungary, Slovenia, and the Czech Republic during the COVID-19 Crisis: A Markov Switching VAR Approach
Tuhin G M Al Mamun
The COVID-19 pandemic significantly disrupted household consumption, savings, and income across Europe, particularly affecting countries like Hungary, Slovenia, and the Czech Repub…