87 citations · 155 across the 6 of their papers we have counts for
6 papers
Managing catastrophic changes in a collective
David Lamper, Paul Jefferies, Michael Hart +1
We address the important practical issue of understanding, predicting and eventually controlling catastrophic endogenous changes in a collective. Such large internal changes arise…
An Investigation of Crash Avoidance in a Complex System
Michael L. Hart, David Lamper, Neil F. Johnson
Complex systems can exhibit unexpected large changes, e.g. a crash in a financial market. We examine the large endogenous changes arising within a non-trivial generalization of the…
Crash Avoidance in a Complex System
Michael L. Hart, David Lamper, Neil F. Johnson
Complex systems can exhibit unexpected large changes, e.g. a crash in a financial market. We examine the large endogenous changes arising within a non-trivial generalization of the…
Anatomy of extreme events in a complex adaptive system
Paul Jefferies, David Lamper, Neil F. Johnson
We provide an analytic, microscopic analysis of extreme events in an adaptive population comprising competing agents (e.g. species, cells, traders, data-packets). Such large change…
Application of multi-agent games to the prediction of financial time-series
N. F. Johnson, D. Lamper, P. Jefferies +2
We report on a technique based on multi-agent games which has potential use in the prediction of future movements of financial time-series. A third-party game is trained on a black…
Predictability of large future changes in a competitive evolving population
D. Lamper, S. Howison, N. F. Johnson
The dynamical evolution of many economic, sociological, biological and physical systems tends to be dominated by a relatively small number of unexpected, large changes (`extreme ev…