3 papers
physics.ao-ph2025
Windows of opportunity in subseasonal weather regime forecasting: A statistical-dynamical approach
Fabian Mockert, Christian M. Grams, Sebastian Lerch +1
MJO and SPV are prominent sources of subseasonal predictability in the Extratropics. With relevance for European weather it has been shown that the joint interaction of MJO and the…
physics.ao-ph2025
Uncertainty quantification for data-driven weather models
Christopher Bülte, Nina Horat, Julian Quinting +1
Artificial intelligence (AI)-based data-driven weather forecasting models have experienced rapid progress over the last years. Recent studies, with models trained on reanalysis dat…
physics.ao-ph2024
Multivariate post-processing of probabilistic sub-seasonal weather regime forecasts
Fabian Mockert, Christian M. Grams, Sebastian Lerch +2
Reliable forecasts of quasi-stationary, recurrent, and persistent large-scale atmospheric circulation patterns (weather regimes) are crucial for various socio-economic sectors. Des…