3 papers
stat.AP2024
Chain event graphs for assessing activity-level propositions in forensic science in relation to drug traces on banknotes
Gail Robertson, Amy L Wilson, Jim Q Smith
Graphical models and likelihood ratios can be used by forensic scientists to compare support given by evidence to propositions put forward by competing parties during court proceed…
stat.AP2024
A comparison of graphical methods in the case of the murder of Meredith Kercher
A. Philip Dawid, Francesco Dotto, Maxine Graves +5
We compare three graphical methods for displaying evidence in a legal case: Wigmore Charts, Bayesian Networks and Chain Event Graphs. We find that these methods are aimed at three…
stat.AP2023
Resource Adequacy and Capacity Procurement: Metrics and Decision Support Analysis
Chris J. Dent, Nestor Sanchez, Aditi Shevni +3
Resource adequacy studies typically use standard metrics such as Loss of Load Expectation and Expected Energy Unserved to quantify the risk of supply shortfalls. This paper critiqu…