Do Large Language Models Know Conflict? Investigating Parametric vs. Non-Parametric Knowledge of LLMs for Conflict Forecasting

Apollinaire Poli Nemkova, Sarath Chandra Lingareddy, Sagnik Ray Choudhury +1

Large Language Models (LLMs) have shown impressive performance across natural language tasks, but their ability to forecast violent conflict remains underexplored. We investigate w…