activity
20162026
most citedMultiway Cluster Robust Double/Debiased Machine Learning

15 citations · 49 across the 22 of their papers we have counts for

collaborators

24 papers

econ.EM2026

Maximum score and non-smooth M-estimators with multiway dependence

Harold D. Chiang, Ahnaf Rafi

Under i.i.d. sampling, the maximum score estimator of Manski (1975) converges at the cube-root rate to a non-Gaussian limit. We show that, under multiway dependence and low-level c…

econ.EM2026

Panel Quantile Regression with Common Shocks

Harold D. Chiang, Antonio F. Galvao, Chia-Min Wei

This paper develops an asymptotic and inferential theory for fixed-effects panel quantile regression (FEQR) that delivers inference robust to pervasive common shocks. Such shocks i…

econ.EM2026

Cross-Fitting-Free Debiased Machine Learning with Multiway Dependence

Kaicheng Chen, Harold D. Chiang

This paper develops an asymptotic theory for two-step debiased machine learning (DML) estimators in generalised method of moments (GMM) models with general multiway clustered depen…

stat.ML2025

Empirical Likelihood for Random Forests and Ensembles

Harold D. Chiang, Yukitoshi Matsushita, Taisuke Otsu

We develop an empirical likelihood (EL) framework for random forests and related ensemble methods, providing a likelihood-based approach to quantify their statistical uncertainty.…

econ.EM2025

Enhancing the Merger Simulation Toolkit with ML/AI

Harold D. Chiang, Jack Collison, Lorenzo Magnolfi +1

This paper develops a flexible approach to predict the price effects of horizontal mergers using ML/AI methods. While standard merger simulation techniques rely on restrictive assu…

econ.EM2025

Maximal Inequalities for Separately Exchangeable Empirical Processes

Harold D. Chiang

This paper derives new maximal inequalities for empirical processes associated with separately exchangeable random arrays. For fixed index dimension , we establish a global…

math.ST2024

Extremal Quantiles under Two-Way Clustering

Harold D. Chiang, Ryutah Kato, Yuya Sasaki

This paper studies extremal quantiles under two-way clustered dependence. We show that the limiting distribution of unconditional intermediate-order tail quantiles is Gaussian. Thi…

econ.EM2023★ 2 cited

Genuinely Robust Inference for Clustered Data

Harold D. Chiang, Yuya Sasaki, Yulong Wang

Conventional cluster-robust inference can be invalid when data contain clusters of unignorably large size. We formalize this issue by deriving a necessary and sufficient condition…

econ.EM2023★ 2 cited

Regression adjustment in completely randomized experiments with many covariates

Harold D Chiang, Yukitoshi Matsushita, Taisuke Otsu

This paper investigates estimation and inference for average treatment effects in completely randomized experiments when researchers observe potentially many covariates. Within Ney…

econ.EM2023★ 4 cited

On Using The Two-Way Cluster-Robust Standard Errors

Harold D Chiang, Yuya Sasaki

Thousands of papers have reported two-way cluster-robust (TWCR) standard errors. However, the recent econometrics literature points out the potential non-gaussianity of two-way clu…

econ.EM2022★ 6 cited

Standard errors for two-way clustering with serially correlated time effects

Harold D Chiang, Bruce E Hansen, Yuya Sasaki

We propose improved standard errors and an asymptotic distribution theory for two-way clustered panels. Our proposed estimator and theory allow for arbitrary serial dependence in t…

econ.EM2021★ 2 cited

Dyadic double/debiased machine learning for analyzing determinants of free trade agreements

Harold D Chiang, Yukun Ma, Joel Rodrigue +1

This paper presents novel methods and theories for estimation and inference about parameters in econometric models using machine learning for nuisance parameters estimation when da…

econ.EM2021★ 1 cited

Inference in high-dimensional regression models without the exact or sparsity

Jooyoung Cha, Harold D. Chiang, Yuya Sasaki

This paper proposes a new method of inference in high-dimensional regression models and high-dimensional IV regression models. Estimation is based on a combined use of the orthogon…

stat.ME2021

Multiway empirical likelihood

Harold D Chiang, Yukitoshi Matsushita, Taisuke Otsu

This paper develops a general methodology to conduct statistical inference for observations indexed by multiple sets of entities. We propose a novel multiway empirical likelihood s…

econ.EM2021★ 1 cited

Algorithmic subsampling under multiway clustering

Harold D. Chiang, Jiatong Li, Yuya Sasaki

This paper proposes a novel method of algorithmic subsampling (data sketching) for multiway cluster dependent data. We establish a new uniform weak law of large numbers and a new c…

econ.EM2021★ 2 cited

Linear programming approach to nonparametric inference under shape restrictions: with an application to regression kink designs

Harold D. Chiang, Kengo Kato, Yuya Sasaki +1

We develop a novel method of constructing confidence bands for nonparametric regression functions under shape constraints. This method can be implemented via a linear programming,…

econ.EM2020

Empirical likelihood and uniform convergence rates for dyadic kernel density estimation

Harold D. Chiang, Bing Yang Tan

This paper studies the asymptotic properties of and alternative inference methods for kernel density estimation (KDE) for dyadic data. We first establish uniform convergence rates…

econ.EM2020

Inference for high-dimensional exchangeable arrays

Harold D. Chiang, Kengo Kato, Yuya Sasaki

We consider inference for high-dimensional separately and jointly exchangeable arrays where the dimensions may be much larger than the sample sizes. For both exchangeable arrays, w…

econ.EM2019★ 15 cited

Multiway Cluster Robust Double/Debiased Machine Learning

Harold D. Chiang, Kengo Kato, Yukun Ma +1

This paper investigates double/debiased machine learning (DML) under multiway clustered sampling environments. We propose a novel multiway cross fitting algorithm and a multiway DM…

econ.EM2019★ 3 cited

Lasso under Multi-way Clustering: Estimation and Post-selection Inference

Harold D. Chiang, Yuya Sasaki

This paper studies high-dimensional regression models with lasso when data is sampled under multi-way clustering. First, we establish convergence rates for the lasso and post-lasso…

econ.EM2019

Post-Selection Inference in Three-Dimensional Panel Data

Harold D. Chiang, Joel Rodrigue, Yuya Sasaki

Three-dimensional panel models are widely used in empirical analysis. Researchers use various combinations of fixed effects for three-dimensional panels. When one imposes a parsimo…

econ.EM2018★ 3 cited

Many Average Partial Effects: with An Application to Text Regression

Harold D. Chiang

We study estimation, pointwise and simultaneous inference, and confidence intervals for many average partial effects of lasso Logit. Focusing on high-dimensional, cluster-sampling…

stat.ME2017★ 4 cited

Robust Uniform Inference for Quantile Treatment Effects in Regression Discontinuity Designs

Harold D. Chiang, Yu-Chin Hsu, Yuya Sasaki

The practical importance of inference with robustness against large bandwidths for causal effects in regression discontinuity and kink designs is widely recognized. Existing robust…

stat.ME2016★ 4 cited

Causal Inference by Quantile Regression Kink Designs

Harold D. Chiang, Yuya Sasaki

The quantile regression kink design (QRKD) is proposed by empirical researchers as a potential method to assess heterogeneous treatment effects under suitable research designs, but…