most citedSignal and noise in regime systems: a hypothesis on the predictability of the North Atlantic Oscillation

60 citations · 60 across the 1 of their papers we have counts for

collaborators

5 papers

physics.ao-ph2020

Through a Jet Speed Darkly: The Emergence of Robust Euro-Atlantic Regimes in the Absence of Jet Speed Variability

J. Dorrington, K. Strommen

Euro-Atlantic regimes are typically identified using either the latitude of the eddy-driven jet, or clustering algorithms in the phase space of 500hPa geopotential height (Z500). H…

physics.ao-ph2019

Jet Latitude Regimes and the Predictability of the North Atlantic Oscillation

Kristian Strommen

In recent years, numerical weather prediction models have begun to show notable levels of skill at predicting the average winter North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) when initialised o…

physics.ao-ph2019

The Sensitivity of Euro-Atlantic Regimes to Model Horizontal Resolution

K. Strommen, I. Mavilia, S. Corti +5

There is growing evidence that the atmospheric dynamics of the Euro-Atlantic sector during winter is driven in part by the presence of quasi-persistent regimes. However, general ci…

physics.ao-ph2019

The impact of stochastic physics on climate sensitivity in EC-Earth

K. Strommen, P. A. G. Watson, T. N. Palmer

Stochastic schemes, designed to represent unresolved sub-grid scale variability, are frequently used in short and medium-range weather forecasts, where they are found to improve se…

physics.ao-ph201960 cited

Signal and noise in regime systems: a hypothesis on the predictability of the North Atlantic Oscillation

Kristian Strommen, Tim N. Palmer

Studies conducted by the UK Met Office reported significant skill at predicting the winter NAO index with their seasonal prediction system. At the same time, a very low signal-to-n…