5 papers
Accuracy and Fairness of Facial Recognition Technology in Low-Quality Police Images: An Experiment With Synthetic Faces
Maria Cuellar, Hon Kiu, To +1
Facial recognition technology (FRT) is increasingly used in criminal investigations, yet most evaluations of its accuracy rely on high-quality images, unlike those often encountere…
The Neglected Error: False Negatives and the Case for Validating Eliminations
Maria Cuellar
This article examines the overlooked risk of false negative errors arising from eliminations in forensic firearm comparisons. While recent reforms in forensic science have focused…
Mediated probabilities of causation
Max Rubinstein, Maria Cuellar, Daniel Malinsky
We propose a set of causal estimands that we call the "mediated probabilities of causation." These estimands quantify the probabilities that an observed negative outcome was induce…
The Prosecutor's Fallacy and Expert Testimony: A Modern Take Using Likelihood Ratios
Maria Cuellar
Forensic examiners and attorneys need to know how to express evidence in favor or against a prosecutor's hypothesis in a way that avoids the prosecutor's fallacy and follows the mo…
Statistical Issues in the Diagnosis of Shaken Baby Syndrome/Abusive Head Trauma
Maria Cuellar
The diagnosis of Shaken Baby Syndrome/Abusive Head Trauma (SBS/AHT) is fraught with controversy due to critical statistical deficiencies in the data underpinning these diagnoses. T…