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stat.ME2025
Tail calibration of probabilistic forecasts
Sam Allen, Jonathan Koh, Johan Segers +1
Probabilistic forecasts comprehensively describe the uncertainty in the unknown future outcome, making them essential for decision making and risk management. While several methods…
stat.ME2024
Extreme-value modelling of migratory bird arrival dates: Insights from citizen science data
Jonathan Koh, Thomas Opitz
Citizen science mobilises many observers and gathers huge datasets but often without strict sampling protocols, resulting in observation biases due to heterogeneous sampling effort…