3 papers
math.PR2025
A multi-season epidemic model with random genetic drift and transmissibility
Tom Britton, Andrea Pugliese
We consider a model for an influenza-like disease, in which, between seasons, the virus makes a random genetic drift , (reducing immunity by the factor ) and obtains a new…
math.PR2025
Household epidemic models revisited
Frank Ball, Tom Britton, Peter Neal
We analyse a generalized stochastic household epidemic model defined by a bivariate random variable , representing the number of global and local infectious contacts th…
math.PR2024
An epidemic model on a network having two group structures with tunable overlap
Frank Ball, Tom Britton, Peter Neal
A network epidemic model is studied. The underlying social network has two different types of group structures, households and workplaces, such that each individual belongs to exac…