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math.HO2023
Fair coins tend to land on the same side they started: Evidence from 350,757 flips
František Bartoš, Alexandra Sarafoglou, Henrik R. Godmann +47
Many people have flipped coins but few have stopped to ponder the statistical and physical intricacies of the process. We collected coin flips to test the counterintuit…
stat.OT2023
J. B. S. Haldane's Rule of Succession
Eric-Jan Wagenmakers, Sandy Zabell, Quentin F. Gronau
After Bayes, the oldest Bayesian account of enumerative induction is given by Laplace's so-called rule of succession: if all observed instances of a phenomenon to date exhibit…