84 citations · 134 across the 15 of their papers we have counts for
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q-bio.PE2020★ 84 cited
A Case Study in Model Failure? COVID-19 Daily Deaths and ICU Bed Utilisation Predictions in New York State
Vincent Chin, Noelle I. Samia, Roman Marchant +4
Forecasting models have been influential in shaping decision-making in the COVID-19 pandemic. However, there is concern that their predictions may have been misleading. Here, we di…
stat.OT2020★ 1 cited
Learning as We Go: An Examination of the Statistical Accuracy of COVID19 Daily Death Count Predictions
Roman Marchant, Noelle I. Samia, Ori Rosen +2
This paper provides a formal evaluation of the predictive performance of a model (and its various updates) developed by the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) for p…