459 citations · 966 across the 23 of their papers we have counts for
21 papers · 1 filter
Crowdsourcing the Frontier: Advancing Hybrid Physics-ML Climate Simulation via a $50,000 Kaggle Competition
Jerry Lin, Zeyuan Hu, Tom Beucler +24
Subgrid machine-learning (ML) parameterizations have the potential to introduce a new generation of climate models that incorporate the effects of higher-resolution physics without…
Beyond the Training Data: Confidence-Guided Mixing of Parameterizations in a Hybrid AI-Climate Model
Helge Heuer, Tom Beucler, Mierk Schwabe +3
Persistent systematic errors in Earth system models (ESMs) arise from difficulties in representing the full diversity of subgrid, multiscale atmospheric convection and turbulence.…
Reduced Cloud Cover Errors in a Hybrid AI-Climate Model Through Equation Discovery And Automatic Tuning
Arthur Grundner, Tom Beucler, Julien Savre +3
Cloud-related parameterizations remain a leading source of uncertainty in climate projections. Although machine learning holds promise for Earth system models (ESMs), many data-dri…
Lightning-Fast Convective Outlooks: Predicting Severe Convective Environments with Global AI-based Weather Models
Monika Feldmann, Tom Beucler, Milton Gomez +1
Severe convective storms are among the most dangerous weather phenomena and accurate forecasts mitigate their impacts. The recently released suite of AI-based weather models produc…
Simulating Atmospheric Processes in Earth System Models and Quantifying Uncertainties with Deep Learning Multi-Member and Stochastic Parameterizations
Gunnar Behrens, Tom Beucler, Fernando Iglesias-Suarez +5
Deep learning is a powerful tool to represent subgrid processes in climate models, but many application cases have so far used idealized settings and deterministic approaches. Here…
Stress-testing the coupled behavior of hybrid physics-machine learning climate simulations on an unseen, warmer climate
Jerry Lin, Mohamed Aziz Bhouri, Tom Beucler +2
Accurate and computationally-viable representations of clouds and turbulence are a long-standing challenge for climate model development. Traditional parameterizations that crudely…
Navigating the Noise: Bringing Clarity to ML Parameterization Design with O(100) Ensembles
Jerry Lin, Sungduk Yu, Liran Peng +6
Machine-learning (ML) parameterizations of subgrid processes (here of turbulence, convection, and radiation) may one day replace conventional parameterizations by emulating high-re…
Causally-informed deep learning to improve climate models and projections
Fernando Iglesias-Suarez, Pierre Gentine, Breixo Solino-Fernandez +4
Climate models are essential to understand and project climate change, yet long-standing biases and uncertainties in their projections remain. This is largely associated with the r…
Data-Driven Equation Discovery of a Cloud Cover Parameterization
Arthur Grundner, Tom Beucler, Pierre Gentine +1
A promising method for improving the representation of clouds in climate models, and hence climate projections, is to develop machine learning-based parameterizations using output…
Understanding Extreme Precipitation Changes through Unsupervised Machine Learning
Griffin Mooers, Tom Beucler, Mike Pritchard +1
Despite the importance of quantifying how the spatial patterns of extreme precipitation will change with warming, we lack tools to objectively analyze the storm-scale outputs of mo…
Comparing Storm Resolving Models and Climates via Unsupervised Machine Learning
Griffin Mooers, Mike Pritchard, Tom Beucler +5
Global Storm-Resolving Models (GSRMs) have gained widespread interest because of the unprecedented detail with which they resolve the global climate. However, it remains difficult…
Non-Linear Dimensionality Reduction with a Variational Encoder Decoder to Understand Convective Processes in Climate Models
Gunnar Behrens, Tom Beucler, Pierre Gentine +3
Deep learning can accurately represent sub-grid-scale convective processes in climate models, learning from high resolution simulations. However, deep learning methods usually lack…
Deep Learning Based Cloud Cover Parameterization for ICON
Arthur Grundner, Tom Beucler, Pierre Gentine +3
A promising approach to improve cloud parameterizations within climate models and thus climate projections is to use deep learning in combination with training data from storm-reso…
Assessing the Potential of Deep Learning for Emulating Cloud Superparameterization in Climate Models with Real-Geography Boundary Conditions
Griffin Mooers, Mike Pritchard, Tom Beucler +4
We explore the potential of feed-forward deep neural networks (DNNs) for emulating cloud superparameterization in realistic geography, using offline fits to data from the Super Par…
Generative Modeling for Atmospheric Convection
Griffin Mooers, Jens Tuyls, Stephan Mandt +2
While cloud-resolving models can explicitly simulate the details of small-scale storm formation and morphology, these details are often ignored by climate models for lack of comput…
Interpreting and Stabilizing Machine-learning Parametrizations of Convection
Noah D. Brenowitz, Tom Beucler, Michael Pritchard +1
Neural networks are a promising technique for parameterizing sub-grid-scale physics (e.g. moist atmospheric convection) in coarse-resolution climate models, but their lack of inter…
Quantifying Convective Aggregation using the Tropical Moist Margin's Length
Tom Beucler, David Leutwyler, Julia Windmiller
On small scales, the tropical atmosphere tends to be either moist or very dry. This defines two states that, on large scales, are separated by a sharp margin, well-identified by th…
Towards Physically-consistent, Data-driven Models of Convection
Tom Beucler, Michael Pritchard, Pierre Gentine +1
Data-driven algorithms, in particular neural networks, can emulate the effect of sub-grid scale processes in coarse-resolution climate models if trained on high-resolution climate…
Convective dynamics and the response of precipitation extremes to warming in radiative-convective equilibrium
Tristan H. Abbott, Timothy W. Cronin, Tom Beucler
Tropical precipitation extremes are expected to strengthen with warming, but quantitative estimates remain uncertain because of a poor understanding of changes in convective dynami…
Comparing Convective Self-Aggregation in Idealized Models to Observed Moist Static Energy Variability near the Equator
Tom Beucler, Tristan Abbott, Timothy Cronin +1
Idealized convection-permitting simulations of radiative-convective equilibrium (RCE) have become a popular tool for understanding the physical processes leading to horizontal vari…
Achieving Conservation of Energy in Neural Network Emulators for Climate Modeling
Tom Beucler, Stephan Rasp, Michael Pritchard +1
Artificial neural-networks have the potential to emulate cloud processes with higher accuracy than the semi-empirical emulators currently used in climate models. However, neural-ne…