activity
20172025
most citedClarifying the Hubble constant tension with a Bayesian hierarchical model of the local distance ladder

157 citations · 248 across the 24 of their papers we have counts for

collaborators

24 papers

cs.CR2025

Breaking Distortion-free Watermarks in Large Language Models

Shayleen Reynolds, Hengzhi He, Dung Daniel T. Ngo +5

In recent years, LLM watermarking has emerged as an attractive safeguard against AI-generated content, with promising applications in many real-world domains. However, there are gr…

cs.LG2025

Mixup Regularization: A Probabilistic Perspective

Yousef El-Laham, Niccolò Dalmasso, Svitlana Vyetrenko +2

In recent years, mixup regularization has gained popularity as an effective way to improve the generalization performance of deep learning models by training on convex combinations…

cs.LG2025

Prune 'n Predict: Optimizing LLM Decision-making with Conformal Prediction

Harit Vishwakarma, Alan Mishler, Thomas Cook +3

Large language models (LLMs) are empowering decision-making in several applications, including tool or API usage and answering multiple-choice questions (MCQs). However, incorrect…

cs.LG2024

Auditing and Enforcing Conditional Fairness via Optimal Transport

Mohsen Ghassemi, Alan Mishler, Niccolo Dalmasso +4

Conditional demographic parity (CDP) is a measure of the demographic parity of a predictive model or decision process when conditioning on an additional feature or set of features.…

cs.LG2024★ 8 cited

Synthetic Data Applications in Finance

Vamsi K. Potluru, Daniel Borrajo, Andrea Coletta +17

Synthetic data has made tremendous strides in various commercial settings including finance, healthcare, and virtual reality. We present a broad overview of prototypical applicatio…

stat.ML2023

Fair Wasserstein Coresets

Zikai Xiong, Niccolò Dalmasso, Shubham Sharma +5

Data distillation and coresets have emerged as popular approaches to generate a smaller representative set of samples for downstream learning tasks to handle large-scale datasets.…

cs.LG2023★ 3 cited

FairWASP: Fast and Optimal Fair Wasserstein Pre-processing

Zikai Xiong, Niccolò Dalmasso, Alan Mishler +3

Recent years have seen a surge of machine learning approaches aimed at reducing disparities in model outputs across different subgroups. In many settings, training data may be used…

stat.ML2023

Deep Gaussian Mixture Ensembles

Yousef El-Laham, Niccolò Dalmasso, Elizabeth Fons +1

This work introduces a novel probabilistic deep learning technique called deep Gaussian mixture ensembles (DGMEs), which enables accurate quantification of both epistemic and aleat…

cs.LG2022

Fast Learning of Multidimensional Hawkes Processes via Frank-Wolfe

Renbo Zhao, Niccolò Dalmasso, Mohsen Ghassemi +3

Hawkes processes have recently risen to the forefront of tools when it comes to modeling and generating sequential events data. Multidimensional Hawkes processes model both the sel…

stat.ML2022★ 2 cited

Online Learning for Mixture of Multivariate Hawkes Processes

Mohsen Ghassemi, Niccolò Dalmasso, Simran Lamba +4

Online learning of Hawkes processes has received increasing attention in the last couple of years especially for modeling a network of actors. However, these works typically either…

stat.ML2022

Differentially Private Learning of Hawkes Processes

Mohsen Ghassemi, Eleonora Kreačić, Niccolò Dalmasso +3

Hawkes processes have recently gained increasing attention from the machine learning community for their versatility in modeling event sequence data. While they have a rich history…

stat.AP2022★ 8 cited

Structural Forecasting for Short-term Tropical Cyclone Intensity Guidance

Trey McNeely, Pavel Khokhlov, Niccolo Dalmasso +2

Because geostationary satellite (Geo) imagery provides a high temporal resolution window into tropical cyclone (TC) behavior, we investigate the viability of its application to sho…

stat.ML2022★ 3 cited

Fair When Trained, Unfair When Deployed: Observable Fairness Measures are Unstable in Performative Prediction Settings

Alan Mishler, Niccolò Dalmasso

Many popular algorithmic fairness measures depend on the joint distribution of predictions, outcomes, and a sensitive feature like race or gender. These measures are sensitive to d…

stat.ML2021

Likelihood-Free Frequentist Inference: Bridging Classical Statistics and Machine Learning for Reliable Simulator-Based Inference

Niccolò Dalmasso, Luca Masserano, David Zhao +2

Many areas of science rely on simulators that implicitly encode intractable likelihood functions of complex systems. Classical statistical methods are poorly suited for these so-ca…

stat.ME2021

When the Oracle Misleads: Modeling the Consequences of Using Observable Rather than Potential Outcomes in Risk Assessment Instruments

Alan Mishler, Niccolò Dalmasso

Risk Assessment Instruments (RAIs) are widely used to forecast adverse outcomes in domains such as healthcare and criminal justice. RAIs are commonly trained on observational data…

stat.ME2021★ 8 cited

Diagnostics for Conditional Density Models and Bayesian Inference Algorithms

David Zhao, Niccolò Dalmasso, Rafael Izbicki +1

There has been growing interest in the AI community for precise uncertainty quantification. Conditional density models f(y|x), where x represents potentially high-dimensional featu…

stat.AP2020

HECT: High-Dimensional Ensemble Consistency Testing for Climate Models

Niccolò Dalmasso, Galen Vincent, Dorit Hammerling +1

Climate models play a crucial role in understanding the effect of environmental and man-made changes on climate to help mitigate climate risks and inform governmental decisions. La…

cs.LG2020★ 2 cited

Structural Forecasting for Tropical Cyclone Intensity Prediction: Providing Insight with Deep Learning

Trey McNeely, Niccolò Dalmasso, Kimberly M. Wood +1

Tropical cyclone (TC) intensity forecasts are ultimately issued by human forecasters. The human in-the-loop pipeline requires that any forecasting guidance must be easily digestibl…

stat.ME2020★ 4 cited

Confidence Sets and Hypothesis Testing in a Likelihood-Free Inference Setting

Niccolò Dalmasso, Rafael Izbicki, Ann B. Lee

Parameter estimation, statistical tests and confidence sets are the cornerstones of classical statistics that allow scientists to make inferences about the underlying process that…

cs.LG2019★ 3 cited

Explicit Group Sparse Projection with Applications to Deep Learning and NMF

Riyasat Ohib, Nicolas Gillis, Niccolò Dalmasso +3

We design a new sparse projection method for a set of vectors that guarantees a desired average sparsity level measured leveraging the popular Hoyer measure (an affine function of…

astro-ph.IM2019★ 45 cited

Conditional Density Estimation Tools in Python and R with Applications to Photometric Redshifts and Likelihood-Free Cosmological Inference

Niccolò Dalmasso, Taylor Pospisil, Ann B. Lee +3

It is well known in astronomy that propagating non-Gaussian prediction uncertainty in photometric redshift estimates is key to reducing bias in downstream cosmological analyses. Si…

stat.AP2019

A Flexible Pipeline for Prediction of Tropical Cyclone Paths

Niccolò Dalmasso, Robin Dunn, Benjamin LeRoy +1

Hurricanes and, more generally, tropical cyclones (TCs) are rare, complex natural phenomena of both scientific and public interest. The importance of understanding TCs in a changin…

stat.ME2019★ 5 cited

Validation of Approximate Likelihood and Emulator Models for Computationally Intensive Simulations

Niccolò Dalmasso, Ann B. Lee, Rafael Izbicki +3

Complex phenomena in engineering and the sciences are often modeled with computationally intensive feed-forward simulations for which a tractable analytic likelihood does not exist…

astro-ph.CO2017★ 157 cited

Clarifying the Hubble constant tension with a Bayesian hierarchical model of the local distance ladder

Stephen M. Feeney, Daniel J. Mortlock, Niccolò Dalmasso

Estimates of the Hubble constant, , from the distance ladder and the cosmic microwave background (CMB) differ at the 3- level, indicating a potential issue with the s…