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stat.ML2026
ReCIRC: Rectified Conformal Risk Control
Bruno Marcondes e Resende, Helton Graziadei, Thiago Rodrigo Ramos +1
Many applications of black-box predictive models require controlling task-relevant error rates, such as missed lesion pixels in segmentation or missed labels in multilabel classifi…
stat.ML2026
Conformal Prediction via Transported Beta Laws
Thiago R. Ramos, Helton Graziadei, Luben M. C. Cabezas
Split conformal prediction provides finite-sample marginal coverage under exchangeability, but this guarantee averages over the random calibration sample. We study instead the law…
stat.ML2026
Skew-adaptive conformal prediction
Paulo C. Marques F., Helton Graziadei
We develop a skew-adaptive extension of split conformal prediction for regression. The method starts from an asymmetric interval family centered at a point prediction and uses the…