26 citations · 82 across the 23 of their papers we have counts for
25 papers
Bayesian calibration of adaptive-behavior SIR models for multi-wave COVID-19 incidence in New York City
Luis A. Barboza, Carlos Pasquier, Baltazar Espinoza +1
Epidemic incidence reflects both transmission dynamics and adaptive human behavior, yet these mechanisms may be difficult to distinguish from aggregate case data alone. We calibrat…
Network amplification of dengue declines as endemicity rises: climate-adjusted directional spread across Costa Rican cantons, 1993-2012
Fabio Sanchez
\textbf{Background:} In Costa Rica, dengue is reported and controlled at the canton level, and outbreaks in one canton are often followed by outbreaks in others. Climate models des…
What Deletes: Eigenvectors, Non-Normality, and the Social Content of the Basic Reproduction Number
Fabio Sanchez
The basic reproduction number is the spectral radius of a matrix, . Taking that definition literally, we ask what discards. A matrix carries three kinds of…
When Self-Protection Backfires: Adaptive Contact Behavior Expands the Endemic Basin in an Addiction Model with Nonlinear Relapse
Fabio Sanchez
We extend the Susceptible--Addicted--Reformed (SAR) model of \cite{sanchez2023}, which exhibits a forward--backward bifurcation driven by nonlinear relapse, by embedding an epi-eco…
Bayesian spatio-temporal model with INLA for dengue fever risk prediction in Costa Rica
Shu-Wei Chou-Chen, Luis A. Barboza, Paola Vásquez +4
Due to the rapid geographic spread of the Aedes mosquito and the increase in dengue incidence, dengue fever has been an increasing concern for public health authorities in tropical…
A nonlinear relapse model with disaggregated contact rates: analysis of a forward-backward bifurcation
Jimmy Calvo-Monge, Fabio Sanchez, Juan G. Calvo +1
We developed a nonlinear differential equation model to explore the dynamics of relapse phenomena. Our incidence rate function is formulated, taking inspiration from recent adaptiv…