3.7k citations · 7.9k across the 44 of their papers we have counts for
44 papers
Very early warning signal for El Niño in 2020 with a 4 in 5 likelihood
Josef Ludescher, Armin Bunde, Shlomo Havlin +1
The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is the most important driver of climate variability and can trigger extreme weather events and disasters in various parts of the globe. Rece…
Complexity based approach for El Nino magnitude forecasting before the "spring predictability barrier"
Jun Meng, Jingfang Fan, Josef Ludescher +5
The El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is one of the most prominent interannual climate phenomena. An early and reliable ENSO forecasting remains a crucial goal, due to its seriou…
Forecasting the magnitude and onset of El Nino based on climate network
Jun Meng, Jingfang Fan, Yosef Ashkenazy +2
El Nino is probably the most influential climate phenomenon on interannual time scales. It affects the global climate system and is associated with natural disasters and serious co…
Testing reanalysis datasets in Antarctica: Trends, persistence properties and trend significance
Yang Wang, Dong Zhou, Armin Bunde +1
The reanalysis datasets provide very important sources for investigating the climate dynamics and climate changes in Antarctica. In this paper, three major reanalysis data are comp…
The significance of trends in long-term correlated records
Araik Tamazian, Josef Ludescher, Armin Bunde
We study the distribution of the relative trend in long-term correlated records of length that are characterized by a Hurst-exponent between 0.5 and 1.5 obta…
Improved El Niño-Forecasting by Cooperativity Detection
Josef Ludescher, Avi Gozolchiani, Mikhail I. Bogachev +3
Although anomalous episodical warming of the eastern equatorial Pacific, dubbed El Niño by Peruvian fishermen, has major (and occasionally devastating) impacts around the globe, ro…