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econ.TH2026

Belief Identification in Populations

Christopher P. Chambers, Yusufcan Masatlioglu, R. Emilio Muniz-Langle

We study the identification of belief distributions in a population of Bayesian agents from anonymous aggregate belief data. While a single Bayesian agent's full belief can be reco…

econ.TH2025

Ordered Probabilistic Choice

Christopher P. Chambers, Yusufcan Masatlioglu, Kemal Yildiz

We introduce a novel perspective by linking ordered probabilistic choice to copula theory, a mathematical framework for modeling dependencies in multivariate distributions. Each re…

econ.TH2025

Revealed Social Networks

Christopher P. Chambers, Yusufcan Masatlioglu, Christopher Turansick

The linear-in-means model is the standard empirical model of peer effects and asks that an agent's choice or outcome is a combination of their ideal point and the mean outcome of t…

econ.TH2024

The Limits of Identification in Discrete Choice

Christopher P. Chambers, Christopher Turansick

This paper uncovers tight bounds on the number of preferences permissible in identified random utility models. We show that as the number of alternatives in a discrete choice model…

econ.TH2024

Revealed Invariant Preference

Peter Caradonna, Christopher P. Chambers

We consider the problem of rationalizing choice data by a preference satisfying an arbitrary collection of invariance axioms. Examples of such axioms include quasilinearity, homoth…

econ.TH2024

Coherent Distorted Beliefs

Christopher P. Chambers, Yusufcan Masatlioglu, Collin Raymond

Many models of economics assume that individuals distort objective probabilities. We propose a simple consistency condition on distortion functions, which we term distortion cohere…