2 papers
stat.AP2022
A Case-Study of Sample-Based Bayesian Forecasting Algorithms
Taylor R. Brown
For a Bayesian, real-time forecasting with the posterior predictive distribution can be challenging for a variety of time series models. First, estimating the parameters of a time…
stat.ME2022
The Most Difference in Means: A Statistic for the Strength of Null and Near-Zero Results
Bruce A. Corliss, Taylor R. Brown, Tingting Zhang +3
Statistical insignificance does not suggest the absence of effect, yet scientists must often use null results as evidence of negligible (near-zero) effect size to falsify scientifi…