15 citations · 20 across the 5 of their papers we have counts for
5 papers
Hybrid Forecasting of Geopolitical Events
Daniel M. Benjamin, Fred Morstatter, Ali E. Abbas +26
Sound decision-making relies on accurate prediction for tangible outcomes ranging from military conflict to disease outbreaks. To improve crowdsourced forecasting accuracy, we deve…
Adaptive Decision Making via Entropy Minimization
Armen E. Allahverdyan, Aram Galstyan, Ali E. Abbas +1
An agent choosing between various actions tends to take the one with the lowest cost. But this choice is arguably too rigid (not adaptive) to be useful in complex situations, e.g.,…
Utility-Probability Duality
Ali Abbas, Jim Matheson
This paper presents duality between probability distributions and utility functions.
An information theory for preferences
Ali E. Abbas
Recent literature in the last Maximum Entropy workshop introduced an analogy between cumulative probability distributions and normalized utility functions. Based on this analogy, a…
The Algebra of Utility Inference
Ali E. Abbas
Richard Cox [1] set the axiomatic foundations of probable inference and the algebra of propositions. He showed that consistency within these axioms requires certain rules for updat…