33 citations · 44 across the 5 of their papers we have counts for
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stat.ME2015★ 5 cited
Combining and Extremizing Real-Valued Forecasts
Ville Satopää, Lyle Ungar
The weighted average is by far the most popular approach to combining multiple forecasts of some future outcome. This paper shows that both for probability or real-valued forecasts…
stat.ME2015
Partial Information Framework: Model-Based Aggregation of Estimates from Diverse Information Sources
Ville A. Satopää, Shane T. Jensen, Robin Pemantle +1
Prediction polling is an increasingly popular form of crowdsourcing in which multiple participants estimate the probability or magnitude of some future event. These estimates are t…