3 papers
q-bio.QM2020
HIV transmission in men who have sex with men in England: on track for elimination by 2030?
Francesco Brizzi, Paul J Birrell, Peter Kirwan +5
Background: After a decade of a treatment as prevention (TasP) strategy based on progressive HIV testing scale-up and earlier treatment, a reduction in the estimated number of new…
stat.ME2017
Evidence synthesis for stochastic epidemic models
Paul J Birrell, Daniela De Angelis, Anne M Presanis
In recent years the role of epidemic models in informing public health policies has progressively grown. Models have become increasingly realistic and more complex, requiring the u…
stat.AP2017
Exploiting routinely collected severe case data to monitor and predict influenza outbreaks
Alice Corbella, Xu-Sheng Zhang, Paul J. Birrell +4
Influenza remains a significant burden on health systems. Effective responses rely on the timely understanding of the magnitude and the evolution of an outbreak. For monitoring pur…