39 citations · 230 across the 21 of their papers we have counts for
5 papers · 1 filter
Evidence synthesis for stochastic epidemic models
Paul J Birrell, Daniela De Angelis, Anne M Presanis
In recent years the role of epidemic models in informing public health policies has progressively grown. Models have become increasingly realistic and more complex, requiring the u…
Quantifying the recency of HIV infection using multiple longitudinal biomarkers
Loumpiana Koulai, Anne Presanis, Gary Murphy +2
Knowledge of the time at which an HIV-infected individual seroconverts, when the immune system starts responding to HIV infection, plays a vital role in the design and implementati…
Exploiting routinely collected severe case data to monitor and predict influenza outbreaks
Alice Corbella, Xu-Sheng Zhang, Paul J. Birrell +4
Influenza remains a significant burden on health systems. Effective responses rely on the timely understanding of the magnitude and the evolution of an outbreak. For monitoring pur…
Value of Information: Sensitivity Analysis and Research Design in Bayesian Evidence Synthesis
Christopher Jackson, Anne Presanis, Stefano Conti +1
Suppose we have a Bayesian model which combines evidence from several different sources. We want to know which model parameters most affect the estimate or decision from the model,…
Conflict diagnostics for evidence synthesis in a multiple testing framework
Anne M. Presanis, David Ohlssen, Kai Cui +2
Evidence synthesis models that combine multiple datasets of varying design, to estimate quantities that cannot be directly observed, require the formulation of complex probabilisti…