activity
20142026
most citedGaussian Prepivoting for Finite Population Causal Inference

19 citations · 56 across the 16 of their papers we have counts for

collaborators

21 papers

math.ST2026

Gaussian comparison above the median

Colin B. Fogarty

We prove a Gaussian comparison inequality for closed convex sets with reference probability at least 1/2. For centered Gaussian vectors whose covariance matrices are ordered in the…

stat.ME2026

Stochastic Sensitivity Analysis for Matched Observational Studies

Mengqi Lin, Colin B. Fogarty, Gongjun Xu

Sensitivity analysis asks how strong unmeasured confounding needs to be to explain away an observational study's conclusion. The conventional approach in matched studies conducts i…

stat.ME2026

Powerful Multivariate Sensitivity Analysis via Sample Splitting in an Observational Study of the Effects of Poverty on Cardiovascular Disease Risk Factors

William Bekerman, Anurag Mehta, Rebecca E. Hasson +3

When assessing the causal effect of an exposure on two or more outcomes in an observational study, a linear combination of outcomes may lessen the sensitivity of a test of the glob…

stat.ME2025

Simultaneous Inference for False Discovery Proportions under Sensitivity Models for Observational Studies

Mengqi Lin, Colin Fogarty

We provide an approach to exploratory data analysis in observational studies with a single intervention and multiple endpoints. In such settings, the researcher would like to explo…

stat.ME2025

Tilted sensitivity analysis in matched observational studies

Colin B. Fogarty

We present a new procedure for conducting a sensitivity analysis in matched observational studies. For any candidate test statistic, the approach defines tilted modifications depen…

stat.ME2024

Heterogeneous Treatment Effects under Network Interference: A Nonparametric Approach Based on Node Connectivity

Heejong Bong, Colin B. Fogarty, Elizaveta Levina +1

In network settings, interference between units makes causal inference more challenging as outcomes may depend on the treatments received by others in the network. Typical estimand…

math.ST2021★ 1 cited

Prepivoted permutation tests

Colin B. Fogarty

We present a general approach to constructing permutation tests that are both exact for the null hypothesis of equality of distributions and asymptotically correct for testing equa…

stat.ME2020★ 3 cited

No-harm calibration for generalized Oaxaca-Blinder estimators

Peter L. Cohen, Colin B. Fogarty

In randomized experiments, adjusting for observed features when estimating treatment effects has been proposed as a way to improve asymptotic efficiency. However, only linear regre…

math.ST2020★ 19 cited

Gaussian Prepivoting for Finite Population Causal Inference

Peter L. Cohen, Colin B. Fogarty

In finite population causal inference exact randomization tests can be constructed for sharp null hypotheses, i.e. hypotheses which fully impute the missing potential outcomes. Oft…

stat.AP2019

Biased Encouragements and Heterogeneous Effects in an Instrumental Variable Study of Emergency General Surgical Outcomes

Colin B. Fogarty, Kwonsang Lee, Rachel R. Kelz +1

We investigate the efficacy of surgical versus non-surgical management for two gastrointestinal conditions, colitis and diverticulitis, using observational data. We deploy an instr…

stat.ME2019

Testing weak nulls in matched observational studies

Colin B. Fogarty

We develop sensitivity analyses for weak nulls in matched observational studies while allowing unit-level treatment effects to vary. The methods may be applied to studies using any…

stat.ME2019★ 2 cited

Increasing Power for Observational Studies of Aberrant Response: An Adaptive Approach

Siyu Heng, Hyunseung Kang, Dylan S. Small +1

In many observational studies, the interest is in the effect of treatment on bad, aberrant outcomes rather than the average outcome. For such settings, the traditional approach is…

stat.AP2019★ 11 cited

Patterns of Effects and Sensitivity Analysis for Differences-in-Differences

Luke J. Keele, Dylan S. Small, Jesse Y. Hsu +1

Applied analysts often use the differences-in-differences (DID) method to estimate the causal effect of policy interventions with observational data. The method is widely used, as…

stat.ME2018★ 1 cited

Multivariate one-sided testing in matched observational studies as an adversarial game

Peter L. Cohen, Matt A. Olson, Colin B. Fogarty

We present a multivariate one-sided sensitivity analysis for matched observational studies, appropriate when the researcher has specified that a given causal mechanism should manif…

stat.ME2017

Extended Sensitivity Analysis for Heterogeneous Unmeasured Confounding with An Application to Sibling Studies of Returns to Education

Colin B. Fogarty, Raiden B. Hasegawa

The conventional model for assessing insensitivity to hidden bias in paired observational studies constructs a worst-case distribution for treatment assignments subject to bounds o…

stat.ME2017

On mitigating the analytical limitations of finely stratified experiments

Colin B. Fogarty

While attractive from a theoretical perspective, finely stratified experiments such as paired designs suffer from certain analytical limitations not present in block-randomized exp…

stat.ME2016

Regression assisted inference for the average treatment effect in paired experiments

Colin B. Fogarty

In paired randomized experiments individuals in a given matched pair may differ on prognostically important covariates despite the best efforts of practitioners. We examine the use…

stat.ME2016

Studentized sensitivity analysis for the sample average treatment effect in paired observational studies

Colin B. Fogarty

A fundamental limitation of causal inference in observational studies is that perceived evidence for an effect might instead be explained by factors not accounted for in the primar…

stat.ME2015

Sensitivity Analysis for Multiple Comparisons in Matched Observational Studies through Quadratically Constrained Linear Programming

Colin B. Fogarty, Dylan S. Small

A sensitivity analysis in an observational study assesses the robustness of significant findings to unmeasured confounding. While sensitivity analyses in matched observational stud…

stat.AP2014

Discrete Optimization for Interpretable Study Populations and Randomization Inference in an Observational Study of Severe Sepsis Mortality

Colin B. Fogarty, Mark E. Mikkelsen, David F. Gaieski +1

Motivated by an observational study of the effect of hospital ward versus intensive care unit admission on severe sepsis mortality, we develop methods to address two common problem…

stat.AP2014★ 19 cited

Equivalence testing for functional data with an application to comparing pulmonary function devices

Colin B. Fogarty, Dylan S. Small

Equivalence testing for scalar data has been well addressed in the literature, however, the same cannot be said for functional data. The resultant complexity from maintaining the f…