79 citations · 331 across the 10 of their papers we have counts for
3 papers · 1 filter
Forecasting the full distribution of earthquake numbers is fair, robust and better
Shyam Nandan, Guy Ouillon, Didier Sornette +1
Forecasting the full distribution of the number of earthquakes is revealed to be inherently superior to forecasting their mean. Forecasting the full distribution of earthquake numb…
Forecasting the rates of future aftershocks of all generations is essential to develop better earthquake forecast models
Shyam Nandan, Guy Ouillon, Didier Sornette +1
Currently, one of the best performing and most popular earthquake forecasting models rely on the working hypothesis that: "locations of past background earthquakes reveal the proba…
Magnitude Of Earthquakes Controls The Size Distribution Of Their Triggered Events
Shyam Nandan, Guy Ouillon, Didier Sornette
The driving concept behind one of the most successful statistical forecasting models, the ETAS model, has been that the seismicity is driven by spontaneously occurring background e…