2 papers
q-bio.PE2018
Real-time projections of epidemic transmission and estimation of vaccination impact during an Ebola virus disease outbreak in the Eastern region of the Democratic Republic of Congo
Lee Worden, Rae Wannier, Nicole A. Hoff +10
As of October 12, 2018, 211 cases of Ebola virus disease (EVD) were reported in North Kivu Province, Democratic Republic of Congo. Since the beginning of October the outbreak has l…
q-bio.PE2017
Hamiltonian analysis of subcritical stochastic epidemic dynamics
Lee Worden, Ira B. Schwartz, Simone Bianco +3
We extend a technique of approximation of the long-term behavior of a supercritical stochastic epidemic model, using the WKB approximation and a Hamiltonian phase space, to the sub…