Comment on Buss et al., Science 2021: An alternative, empirically-supported adjustment for sero-reversion yields a 10 percentage point lower estimate of the cumulative incidence of SARS-CoV-2 in Manaus by October 2020

Sarah Kadelka, Judith A Bouman, Peter Ashcroft +1

The estimate of the cumulative incidence of SARS-CoV-2 of 76% in Manaus by October 2020 by Buss et al. relies on the assumption of an exponentially-declining probability of sero-re…