237 citations · 806 across the 73 of their papers we have counts for
5 papers · 1 filter
Comment on: A systematic review and meta-analysis of published research data on COVID-19 infection-fatality rates
Chen Shen, Derrick Van Gennep, Alexander F. Siegenfeld +1
The infection fatality rate (IFR) of COVID-19 is one of the measures of disease impact that can be of importance for policy making. Here we show that many of the studies on which t…
Strategizing COVID-19 Lockdowns Using Mobility Patterns
Olha Buchel, Anton Ninkov, Danise Cathel +2
During the COVID-19 pandemic, governments have tried to keep their territories safe by isolating themselves from others, limiting non-essential travel and imposing mandatory quaran…
On Single Point Forecasts for Fat-Tailed Variables
Nassim Nicholas Taleb, Yaneer Bar-Yam, Pasquale Cirillo
We discuss common errors and fallacies when using naive "evidence based" empiricism and point forecasts for fat-tailed variables, as well as the insufficiency of using naive first-…
Combining PCR and CT testing for COVID
Chen Shen, Ron Mark, Nolan J. Kagetsu +2
We analyze the effect of using a screening CT-scan for evaluation of potential COVID-19 infections in order to isolate and perform contact tracing based upon a viral pneumonia diag…
Eliminating COVID-19: The Impact of Travel and Timing
Alexander F. Siegenfeld, Yaneer Bar-Yam
We analyze the spread of COVID-19 by considering the transmission of the disease among individuals both within and between regions. A set of regions can be defined as any partition…