6 papers
Measuring Reward-Seeking via Contrastive Belief Updates
Axel Højmark, Jérémy Scheurer, Evgenia Nitishinskaya +5
Language models trained with reinforcement learning may learn to optimize the grader's judgment rather than the intended objective. This "reward-seeking" is difficult to measure be…
Stress Testing Deliberative Alignment for Anti-Scheming Training
Bronson Schoen, Evgenia Nitishinskaya, Mikita Balesni +16
Highly capable AI systems could secretly pursue misaligned goals -- what we call "scheming". Because a scheming AI would deliberately try to hide its misaligned goals and actions,…
Forecasting Frontier Language Model Agent Capabilities
Govind Pimpale, Axel Højmark, Jérémy Scheurer +1
As Language Models (LMs) increasingly operate as autonomous agents, accurately forecasting their capabilities becomes crucial for societal preparedness. We evaluate six forecasting…
Frontier Models are Capable of In-context Scheming
Alexander Meinke, Bronson Schoen, Jérémy Scheurer +3
Frontier models are increasingly trained and deployed as autonomous agent. One safety concern is that AI agents might covertly pursue misaligned goals, hiding their true capabiliti…
Towards evaluations-based safety cases for AI scheming
Mikita Balesni, Marius Hobbhahn, David Lindner +13
We sketch how developers of frontier AI systems could construct a structured rationale -- a 'safety case' -- that an AI system is unlikely to cause catastrophic outcomes through sc…
Analyzing Probabilistic Methods for Evaluating Agent Capabilities
Axel Højmark, Govind Pimpale, Arjun Panickssery +2
To mitigate risks from AI systems, we need to assess their capabilities accurately. This is especially difficult in cases where capabilities are only rarely displayed. Phuong et al…