paper

An agent-based model to rural-urban migration analysis

arXiv:physics/0506021 · doi:10.1016/j.physa.2005.08.055

Abstract

In this paper we analyze the rural-urban migration phenomena as it is usually observed in economies which are in the early stages of industrialization. The analysis is conducted by means of a statistical mechanics approach which builds a computational agent-based model. Agents are placed on a lattice and the connections among them are described via an Ising like model. Simulations on this computational model show some emergent properties that are common in developing economies, such as a transitional dynamics characterized by continuous growth of urban population, followed by the equalization of expected wages between rural and urban sectors (Harris-Todaro equilibrium condition), urban concentration and increasing of per capita income.

16 pages, 9 figures

An agent-based model to rural-urban migration analysis · wovepaper