Conditioning by rare sources
arXiv:math/0601048
Abstract
In this paper we study the exponential decay of posterior probability of a set of sources and conditioning by rare sources for both uniform and general prior distributions of sources. The decay rate is determined by -divergence and rare sources from a convex, closed set asymptotically conditionally concentrate on an -projection. -projection on a linear family of sources belongs to -family of distributions. The results parallel those of Large Deviations for Empirical Measures (Sanov's Theorem and Conditional Limit Theorem).
Identical with version 1. Replaced by an error