Confidence balls in Gaussian regression
arXiv:math/0406425 · doi:10.1214/009053604000000085
Abstract
Starting from the observation of an R^n-Gaussian vector of mean f and covariance matrix σ^2 I_n (I_n is the identity matrix), we propose a method for building a Euclidean confidence ball around f, with prescribed probability of coverage. For each n, we describe its nonasymptotic property and show its optimality with respect to some criteria.