Comparison of Field Theory Models of Interest Rates with Market Data
arXiv:cond-mat/0208528 · doi:10.1103/PhysRevE.69.036129
Abstract
We calibrate and test various variants of field theory models of the interest rate with data from eurodollars futures. A model based on a simple psychological factor are seen to provide the best fit to the market. We make a model independent determination of the volatility function of the forward rates from market data.
9 figures