From Density to Biopsy Decisions and Malignancy Prediction: A Benchmark Study of Multimodal Large Language Models Against Radiologists in Digital and Contrast-Enhanced Mammography

Abstract

Purpose: To compare four multimodal large language models (MLLMs) with radiologists of varying expertise in breast density assessment, BI-RADS assessment, biopsy candidacy determination, and continuous malignancy probability estimation using digital mammography (DM) and contrast-enhanced mammography (CEM). Methods: This study included 179 women with paired DM/CEM examinations and reference standards. Four MLLMs (ChatGPT-5.2, Gemini-3.1 Pro, Sonnet-4.6, Muse Spark) interpreted images with and without masks; three radiologists interpreted non-masked images. Results: For binary density classification on DM, radiologist accuracies ranged from 55.81% to 78.60%, exceeding most MLLM values (62.33%-71.63%), while masks added limited benefit. Five-category BI-RADS accuracies were higher for radiologists on DM (56.74-67.44%) and CEM (62.33-82.79%) compared with MLLMs (DM 31.16-45.12%; CEM 40.00-55.81%). Binary biopsy-candidacy accuracies were likewise higher for radiologists (DM 85.12-89.77%; CEM 86.98-92.09%) than for MLLMs (DM 61.39-75.35%; CEM 69.30-82.79%), although CEM improved performance across all readers. Lesion masks substantially improved MLLM continuous malignancy-probability accuracies from 64.65%-71.63% to 72.56-78.60% on DM and from 67.91%-77.21% to 72.56%-81.86% on CEM, approaching radiologist ranges (DM 63.72-82.79%; CEM 81.86-88.84%). The corresponding AUCs for the top masked models overlapped those of the human readers. Overall, Muse Spark, followed by Sonnet-4.6, demonstrated the strongest performance among the MLLMs across domains. Conclusion: Radiologists generally outperformed MLLMs in categorical tasks, while selected masked models approached human performance for continuous malignancy probability estimation, suggesting a potential adjunctive role.

37 pages, 6 figures, 5 tables