paper

Gaussian Approximation in Wasserstein-p: Markovian Martingale Differences and Stochastic Approximation

arXiv:2609.09480

Abstract

We establish nonasymptotic Gaussian approximation bounds in higher-order Wasserstein distance , , for deterministic matrix-weighted sums of multivariate Poisson martingale differences generated by uniformly ergodic Markov chains. Under an -moment condition, , we obtain the explicit bound where collects the moment sizes of the weighted increments. When these sizes are of order , the bound achieves the first optimal rate for fixed and . Consequently, we also obtain the first optimal Gaussian approximation rate for multivariate additive functionals of uniformly ergodic Markov chains. Our analysis develops two techniques for addressing the interplay between higher-order Wasserstein distance and temporal dependence. First, building on the Ornstein--Uhlenbeck relative-score approach of Fang and Koike (2023), we formulate the bound in terms of antisymmetric Stein couplings while retaining the conditional tensor structure. Second, we develop a refresh-then-maximal coupling that combines an independent first-step resampling, which preserves the desired Stein identity, with a subsequent maximal coupling that provides effective control of the coupling increment. We apply these bounds to nonlinear Markovian stochastic approximation by decomposing normalized errors into matrix-weighted Poisson martingale sums and remainders. This yields the first sharp Gaussian approximation rates for both last iterates and Polyak--Ruppert averages. In particular, the optimized rates are for polynomial-stepsize last iterates and for Polyak--Ruppert averages, with an rate for harmonic-stepsize last iterates under an additional spectral condition.

arXiv comment46 pages. Revised and expanded version with new applications to Markovian stochastic approximation