Asynchronous Model Predictive Control Under Model Mismatch: Stability and Performance Guarantees

Abstract

Certainty-equivalence model predictive control (CE-MPC) is widely used for its simplicity and efficiency, but theoretical guarantees under asynchronous feedback remain limited. This paper establishes stability and performance guarantees for asynchronous CE-MPC of input-constrained nonlinear systems. We first derive a nominal stability condition and competitive-ratio bound that explicitly account for inter-execution intervals without prescribing a feedback mechanism. A value-function perturbation analysis for quadratic stage costs then accommodates additive, potentially non-smooth model mismatch without constraint qualification conditions. Combining these results yields stability criteria and competitive-ratio bounds for CE-MPC under general asynchronous feedback, including event/self-triggered and multi-step MPC. The guarantees explicitly relate prediction horizon, inter-execution time, and uncertainty magnitude, quantifying performance degradation relative to an ideal infinite-horizon controller. These results clarify tradeoffs between feedback frequency, model accuracy, and horizon length, guiding asynchronous MPC design using approximate or learned models.

This is the first work to characterize the joint effects of model mismatch, general asynchronous feedback, and prediction horizon on stability and suboptimality. Explicit closed-form stability conditions and competitive-ratio performance bounds are derived and rigorously proved