Statistical reduction before the target is known: two boundary results
arXiv:2609.05286
Abstract
Suppose that the eventual use of data is not known when the data are reduced or collected. This note considers two simple boundary cases. In a finite statistical experiment, a statistic preserves the Bayes risk for every finite later decision problem if and only if it is sufficient. Hence, when the minimal sufficient statistic is one-to-one, exact preservation of all later decision problems permits no nontrivial reduction. We then consider adaptive sampling from independent Gaussian streams when an external query specifies the coordinate to be classified only after sampling stops. Under coordinatewise error control, the optimal symmetric average sample size is exactly times the one-coordinate optimum. A change-of-measure argument gives the corresponding pointwise lower bound in terms of binary relative entropy.