Energy and CO2 Footprint of Climate Model Intercomparison Projects

Abstract

Earth System Models (ESMs) rely heavily on High-Performance Computing (HPC) resources to simulate global climate. As these models evolve, their computational demands continue to grow, driven by three factors: (1) finer spatial grid resolutions, (2) the integration of complex biogeochemical processes (e.g., atmospheric chemistry, interactive vegetation, land use, and ice sheets), and (3) larger climate ensembles to manage uncertainty. Historically, growth in peak computing performance (FLOP/s) has outpaced improvements in energy efficiency (FLOP/Watt), increasing total HPC power consumption. Despite the central role of Model Intercomparison Projects (MIPs) in climate research, quantifying their computational and environmental costs has received limited systematic attention. This paper examines the evolution of climate model carbon accounting from voluntary post-hoc estimation in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 6 (CMIP6) to standardized accounting under the newly established CMIP7 Task Team on Energy Consumption. Using high-resolution Destination Earth simulations on MareNostrum 5, we empirically evaluate how different accounting boundaries (operational, active-only, and embodied carbon) impact reported energy, carbon emissions, and financial costs. Finally, we outline key methodological considerations for standardizing energy and carbon accounting for Model Intercomparison Projects (MIPs).

5 pages, 2 figures. Accepted at the 2nd International Workshop on Low Carbon Computing (LOCO 2026), Lancaster University, United Kingdom, 10-11 September 2026. Part of the LOCO 2026 proceedings, arXiv: LOCO2026/P17