A deep learning algorithm for black hole spin estimation using hot-spot secondary images

Abstract

Sagittarius A* exhibits frequent flaring activity across the electromagnetic spectrum that is often associated with a localized region of strong emission known as a hot spot. We aim to train a deep learning model to provide a link between key parameters of this phenomenon - hot-spot emission radius, and black hole inclination and spin - to the observed angle difference between the primary and secondary image ($\Delta PA$) that present and future interferometric arrays could resolve. Using the general relativistic radiative transfer code IPOLE, we generated a library of $\sim 100.000$ models with varying system parameters and computed the position angle difference on the image plane between the primary and secondary images of the hot spot. We explore equatorial and non-equatorial circular orbits and evaluate our models against approximate observational constraints, including partial-orbit visibility and observational errors. Our algorithm STIHOS shows remarkable accuracy in calculating spin and inclination from the majority of the observational tests we perform (${\sigma }_{a_{\ast }}=0.04,{\sigma }_i=2^{\circ }$), even in extreme conditions where only half of the orbit is visible. The off-equatorial estimation provides softer constraints in the absence of prior information. Our results demonstrate the importance of hot-spot observations for spacetime estimations. Given the increasing efforts to detect the photon-ring, our framework could prove valuable in interpreting the first observations of lensed emission.