Resilience-Oriented Parametric Insurance Design for Power Systems Under Extreme Weather

Abstract

Extreme weather leaves power systems exposed to residual outage risk even after physical resilience investments. Parametric insurance can provide pre-agreed contingent liquidity, but its physical value depends on how trigger thresholds and payout levels are designed. This paper proposes a resilience oriented parametric insurance framework that couples a three tier wind-index contract with post-event network restoration. Insurance payout expands the budget available to activate emergency resources, so the contract changes the physical restoration feasible set rather than merely offsetting accounting losses. Trigger thresholds and payout levels are jointly designed to balance actuarial premium, expected post-event system cost, and the conditional value-at-risk (CVaR) of scenario energy not supplied (ENS). A response-library method precomputes the restoration mixed-integer linear program for each scenario-payout pair and then evaluates admissible contracts efficiently. On the IEEE RTS-24 with 80 extreme-wind scenarios, the optimized contract reduces expected EENS and CVaR0.90 of ENS by 21.1% and 21.4%, respectively, relative to no insurance, while requiring 48.8% less premium than a fixed parametric contract with comparable resilience. The results show that insurance design should target the nonlinear liquidity-to-resilience response rather than loss compensation alone.