Sharp proper estimation of fixed-component Gaussian location mixtures in polynomial time

Abstract

We consider a mixture of at most $k$ unit-covariance Gaussians in ${\mathbb{R}}^d$ whose means belong to a fixed-radius ball, with no separation or minimum-weight condition. Doss, Wu, Yang and Zhou (2023) proved that the minimax Hellinger risk is of order $\sqrt{d/n}\wedge 1$ and constructed a proper polynomial-time estimator with the slower general bound $(d/n{)}^{1/4}$; obtaining the sharp rate in polynomial time for fixed $k\ge 3$ was left open. We resolve this question. The key device is a moment-fiber range finder. A second-moment subspace controls the energy missed by projection. We then estimate finitely many one-free-index Hermite contractions. These vector-valued contractions recover every tensor component containing exactly one missed direction at the sharp $\sqrt{d/n}$ scale. Every remaining term contains at least two missed factors and is therefore controlled by the residual second-moment energy. The resulting subspace has dimension depending only on $k$. Exhaustive moment fitting in this constant-dimensional space produces a proper mixture and, together with the dimension-free moment characterization of Gaussian mixtures, achieves the optimal Hellinger rate in polynomial arithmetic time for every fixed $k$.

work in progress