When Oracle Conditioning Misleads Deployment: Conditioning-Availability Bias in Echocardiographic Segmentation

Abstract

Conditional segmentation models may be trained and evaluated with auxiliary signals cleaner than those available at deployment. We study this protocol-level manifestation of shortcut learning and auxiliary-variable shift in phase-conditioned echocardiographic segmentation. The complementary gap pair measures loss on the deployable oracle-estimated pathway and probes sensitivity on the oracle-random pathway. On held-out CAMUS data, one strong-cyclic, oracle-selected run fails severely with estimated phase, while sensitivity to incorrect phase persists across three runs. On EchoNet-Dynamic, the current estimator remains usable, but random-phase testing reveals strong latent sensitivity. Deployment-aware checkpoint selection and phase perturbation reduce both gaps with little change in mean Dice. Exploratory subgroup analyses quantify variation across measured strata, and a downstream ejection fraction (EF) audit shows that recovering segmentation does not necessarily recover EF error or signed bias. Together, the gaps test whether oracle-conditioned performance survives the inference pathway actually available at deployment.

Accepted for publication in the MICCAI 2026 Workshop on Fairness of AI in Medical Imaging (FAIMI 2026). To appear in Springer Lecture Notes in Computer Science (LNCS)