CKM determination from $W$ decays with jet flavor tagging at CEPC

Abstract

This study investigates the sensitivity of the CEPC to CKM matrix elements $|V_{ij}|$ in semileptonic $W$-pair decays using simulated $e^{+}{e}^{-}\to W^{+}{W}^{-}\to \mu \nu \bar{q}{q}^{\prime }$ samples corresponding to $21.6{\mathrm{ab}}^{-1}$ at $\sqrt{s}=240\mathrm{GeV}$, with $|V_{ub}|$ excluded because of its negligible contribution. The projected statistical precisions reach $0.59\%$ for $|V_{cb}|$ and $0.01\%$ for $|V_{cs}|$, indicating that the CEPC can provide direct, high-precision, and largely model-independent determinations of CKM matrix elements from hadronic $W$ decays. The main sources of systematic uncertainty are discussed, and further improvements are expected from both experimental and theoretical developments, including dedicated data-driven calibrations of detector response and jet flavor tagging performance, as well as more precise higher-order calculations of the relevant electroweak and QCD corrections. Such measurements would provide stringent consistency tests of the Standard Model charged-current flavor structure and offer sensitivity to possible new physics effects through deviations from the Standard Model expectations.