Credibility-Aware Learning and Control for Safe USV Navigation under Perception Uncertainty

Abstract

Safe navigation for Unmanned Surface Vehicles (USVs) under the International Regulations for Preventing Collisions at Sea (COLREGs) remains challenging in dynamic maritime environments, especially when perception uncertainty is miscalibrated. Errors in state estimation can produce unreliable belief states that mislead value learning, while logic based on discrete traffic rules can cause abrupt action corrections. To address these challenges, we integrate Credibility-Weighted Value Learning (CWVL) with Covariance- and Recovery-Aware Control Barrier Function Quadratic Programming (CoReCBF-QP). CWVL derives a dynamic trust factor from the discrepancy between the covariance estimated by the filter and empirical error statistics. This factor modulates the critic's heteroscedastic loss and limits overfitting to miscalibrated observations. CoReCBF expands the collision geometry according to uncertainty and incorporates terms for braking and turning recovery. The resulting hyperbolic safety boundary preserves feasible avoidance velocities and supplies the QP safety constraint. A continuous COLREGs-aware reference in the objective promotes starboard maneuvers in Rule 14 head-on and Rule 15 give-way crossing encounters. Simulations show improved robustness in collision avoidance and COLREGs event compliance, achieving an 82.0\% success rate with ten target ships beyond the training range.